facebook twitter instagram linkedin google youtube vimeo tumblr yelp rss email podcast blog search brokercheck brokercheck
%POST_TITLE% Thumbnail

September - Market Commentary

Greetings!  

We hope this update finds you and your loved ones safe and healthy and gearing up for the long, Labor Day weekend!    

Monthly Market Summary

  • The S&P 500 Index of large cap stocks returned 3% during August, while the Russell 2000 Index of small cap stocks returned 2.2%.
  • Financials was the top performing sector during August, returning 5.1% as the 10-year Treasury yield rose by 0.1%. Energy was the only sector to trade lower during August, declining -2% as oil prices fell -7.4%.
  • Investment grade bonds produced a -0.3% total return compared to high yield bonds’ 0.6% total return.

Federal Reserve Provides Monetary Policy Update

The Federal Reserve held its annual Jackson Hole meeting on August 27th. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech made the case for the Fed to start reducing its monthly bond purchases, which were started during the pandemic to keep interest rates steady, increase bond market liquidity, and keep credit flowing. He said the Fed has made progress toward its goals of average inflation running above 2% and maximum employment in the U.S. labor market. While Powell laid the groundwork to start tapering (i.e., reducing) the Fed’s monthly bond purchases, he went to great lengths to make clear tapering is a separate decision from raising interest rates. He warned that raising interest rates to tame inflation pressures could disrupt the recovery and said the Covid-19 delta variant poses a risk to the economy.  

Financial markets were anxious leading up to the Jackson Hole meeting. The last time the Fed reduced bond purchases in 2013, investors threw what came to be called a ‘taper tantrum’ out of fear the Fed would remove support too soon and stall the recovery. This time around, Chairman Powell’s speech appears to have settled investors’ jitters. His tightrope act provided advance notice of the Fed’s intent to reduce monthly bond purchases, which markets already believe is providing limited benefit, but reassured investors interest rates will remain low to support the recovery.  

Economic Data Decelerates as Pandemic Disruptions Create Friction

Recent economic data indicates the Covid-19 recovery is moderating. The incoming data paints a picture of an economy reverting back toward pre-pandemic trends amid supply chain disruptions and labor shortages. Regional manufacturing surveys from Federal Reserve bank branches in Dallas, Kansas City, New York, Philadelphia, and Richmond missed the market’s estimates during August. The U.S. Census Bureau reported July retail sales declined from June, while the National Association of Realtors announced July housing starts declined -7% compared to June. While the data is cooling, it does not point to an imminent economic slowdown. Even after declining from June levels, retail sales and housing starts both remain well-above pre-pandemic levels. The recovery will continue to be bumpy and the data will be lumpy, but the economy is forecasted to keep making positive progress in the months ahead.

As always, if you have any questions or would like to discuss your accounts or financial situation further, please call your advisor directly or email us at clientservices@benchmarkfinancial.info.


Any opinions expressed on this email are the opinion or view of Benchmark Financial and/or an advisor of Benchmark Financial and these opinions are subject to change at any time without notice. The content is developed from sources believed to be providing accurate information. Any comments or postings are provided for informational purposes only and does not represent an offer of or a solicitation for advisory services in any state/jurisdiction of the United States or any country where the firm is not registered, notice filed, or exempt. The material is not intended to provide specific advice and/or recommendations for any individual. Readers should conduct their own review and exercise judgment prior to investing and should carefully consider their own investment objectives and not rely on any post, chart, graph or marketing piece to make a decision. Investments are not guaranteed, involve risk and may result in a loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investments are not suitable for all types of investors. Benchmark Financial is not a broker dealer and does not offer tax or legal advice. Please consult your tax or legal advisor for assistance regarding your individual situation
 
Benchmark Financial Wealth Advisors is an independent advisory firm providing wealth guidance, investment management, financial planning and qualified retirement plan services. We counsel individuals, families and business owners on an ongoing basis. We serve as an advocate for our clients, providing objective advice and comprehensive guidance across all aspects of our clients’ financial lives.
 
Investment Advisory Services offered through Benchmark Financial Wealth Advisors LLC, an SEC Registered Investment Advisor. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. Fixed insurance products offered through Benchmark Financial Insurance Advisors LLC. Benchmark Financial Wealth Advisors LLC and Benchmark Financial Insurance Advisors LLC are separate entities. Additional information about Benchmark Financial and our advisors is also available online at www.adviserinfo.sec.gov